National Championship 2025 - Vietnam - Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X (CC) - FaB-Results

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

5th • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.1

Surp

1.0

Diff

Fang, Dracai of Blades

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Giang Hoang (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56

Katsu, the Wanderer

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tuan Nguyen Dinh (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 79:21

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nguyen Billie (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.22
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.83

Phú Nguyễn Khả

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.8

Diff

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Doanh Cao Xuan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Long Tran (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tien Dat (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.81

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.