National Championship 2025 - Vietnam - Cindra, Dracai of Retribution (CC)

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Lại Thành

3rd • 3-0-0

33%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

2.5

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Long Tran (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nguyen Tuan Anh (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Khánh Bình Nguyễn Đình (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (1.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.85
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.27

Long Tran

3rd • 2-1-0

33%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

2.3

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lại Thành (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Phú Nguyễn Khả (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tùng Nguyễn (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (1.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.91
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.37

Tuongkhoa Nguyendinh

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

1.2

Surp

0.7

Diff

Deck

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Eric Nguyễn (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lân Nguyễn (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Hieu Tran (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.34	0.20
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.54
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Than Thang

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Hieu Tran (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Quân Doãn (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lane Thomason (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.