National Championship 2025 - Vietnam - Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter (CC) - FaB-Results

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

1.2

Surp

1.4

Diff

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tuongkhoa Nguyendinh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66

Arakni, Marionette

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lane Thomason (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nguyễn Tuấn (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.49
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.94

dropped • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.7

Diff

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tùng Nguyễn (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 67:33

Dash I/O

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Khánh Bình Nguyễn Đình (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mai Dao (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.19
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.49

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.