Vynnset
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 6-2-0
100%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
R1
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Win vs Steven Young (Dash, Database) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Cooper (Vynnset) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R3 Blitz
Round 3: Win vs Kurtis phelps (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 71:29
70:30
R4 Blitz
Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Tjahjono (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 71:29
70:30
R5 Blitz
Round 5: Win vs Gary Manttan (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 71:29
R6
R6 Blitz
Round 6: Loss vs Zachary Gardiner (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
70:30
R7 Blitz
Round 7: Win vs Gary Manttan (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 71:29
R8
R8 Blitz
Round 8: Loss vs David Huang (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Database | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Solitary Confinement | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Solitary Confinement | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Solitary Confinement | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Solitary Confinement | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Web of Deceit | 50% | Loss |
R1
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Win vs Louis Shum (Data Doll MKII) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R2
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Win vs David Huang (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R3
R3 Blitz
Round 3: Loss vs Jordan Finch (Marlynn) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R4
R4 Blitz
Round 4: Win vs Simon Cox (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
45:55
R5 Blitz
Round 5: Loss vs Tiger Mckenzie (Aurora) - Expected: 46:54
R6
R6 Blitz
Round 6: Loss vs Steven Young (Dash, Database) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Data Doll MKII | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Web of Deceit | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash, Database | 50% | Loss |
25th • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Win vs Louis Jia (Cindra) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
45:55
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Loss vs bill huynh (Aurora) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 Blitz
Round 3: Win vs Blake Godenzi (Aurora) - Expected: 46:54
R4
R4 Blitz
Round 4: Loss vs Ceejay Gordon (Verdance) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R5
R5 Blitz
Round 5: Loss vs Kaeleb Rundell (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R6
R6 Blitz
Round 6: Win vs alisa qian (Cindra) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra | 50% | Win |
26th • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.8
Diff
R1
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Win vs Robert Hall (Gravy Bones) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Loss vs Max Chapman (Vynnset) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 Blitz
Round 3: Win vs Arthur Kindl (Unknown)
45:55
R4 Blitz
Round 4: Loss vs Tiger Mckenzie (Aurora) - Expected: 46:54
Round 5: Loss vs Oliver Hill (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
45:55
R6 Blitz
Round 6: Win vs Grace Luckman (Aurora) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Solitary Confinement | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora | 45% | Win |
34th • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
R1
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Loss vs Ceejay Gordon (Verdance) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R2
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Win vs Naomi Wang (Cindra) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 3: Loss vs Oliver Hill (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
R4
R4 Blitz
Round 4: Loss vs Arthur Kindl (Unknown)
R5
R5 Blitz
Round 5: Win vs James Drummond (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
45:55
R6 Blitz
Round 6: Loss vs Alister Ling (Aurora) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Solitary Confinement | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Loss vs Simon Cox (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
45:55
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Loss vs Freeman Monika (Aurora) - Expected: 46:54
R3
R3 Blitz
Round 3: Loss vs Marcus Costa (Marlynn) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.