Vynnset, Iron Maiden at National Championship 2025 - Hong Kong Region
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
33rd • 5-1-0
67%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
2.6
Surp
4.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs AZCEX DECADE (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lok Chan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kelvin Ng (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Man Ho Tang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Anthony Liu (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Wilson Cheung (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.