National Championship 2025 - Latvia - Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter (CC)

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jaroslavs Zaharenkovs

5th • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.7

Surp

1.2

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kristaps Štils (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Vladimirs Titovs (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jurgis Krikis (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Vladimirs Titovs

5th • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.3

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Miks Kļavsons (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Leonids Samarins (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jaroslavs Zaharenkovs (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Miks Kļavsons (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.33
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Tālis Zukulis

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

1.0

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Aleksejs Titovs (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs janis bernhards (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.