Levia, Shadowborn Abomination at National Championship 2025 - Latvia
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 6-0-0
50%
Meta
+3.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
6.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tālis Zukulis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kristaps Dubults (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jurgis Krikis (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Romans Asachovs (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 8: Win vs Arturs Melnikovs (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 9: Win vs Miks Kļavsons (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
6.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.