Ira, Scarlet Revenger at National Championship 2025 - Latvia
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Antons Kijaņica (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Round 2: Win vs Artis Ivanovs (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aleksejs Titovs (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jaroslavs Zaharenkovs (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Miks Kļavsons (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.