Prism, Awakener of Sol at National Championship 2025 - Latvia
Prism, Awakener of Sol
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jaroslavs Zaharenkovs (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
Round 2: Loss vs Miks Kļavsons (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Antons Kijaņica (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Arturs Melnikovs (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.