Scurv, Stowaway at Calling: Las Vegas 2025

Scurv, Stowaway

8 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jesse Kennon

5th • 3-4-0

14%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.5

Surp

7.7

Diff

30:70

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Devon Porcher (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

30:70

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Griffin Meyers (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 31:69

30:70

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

30:70

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

30:70

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Griffin Meyers (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 31:69

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Shane Martin (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R15 Draft

Round 15: Loss vs Griffin Meyers (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

14% (1/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

7.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Gravy Bones	30%	Win	✗	0.69	2.17
R10	Draft	Gravy Bones	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R11	Draft	Gravy Bones	30%	Win	✗	0.69	2.65
R12	Draft	Gravy Bones	30%	Win	✗	0.69	2.89
R13	Draft	Gravy Bones	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R14	Draft	Scurv, Stowaway	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R15	Draft	Gravy Bones	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Shane Martin

dropped • 4-2-0

50%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

2.8

Surp

8.8

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs Derek Chiu (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

30:70

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 31:69

30:70

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Griffin Meyers (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 31:69

R13

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Devon Killebrew (Unknown)

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs Jesse Kennon (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

8.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Scurv, Stowaway	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Gravy Bones	30%	Win	✗	0.69	2.81
R11	Draft	Gravy Bones	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R12	Draft	Gravy Bones	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R13	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.17
R14	Draft	Scurv, Stowaway	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

Anthony Pham

dropped • 3-3-0

33%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.6

Surp

7.3

Diff

30:70

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Philip Parker (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 31:69

30:70

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Vince Hung (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

30:70

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Jonathan Tarris (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 31:69

30:70

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Nathanael Frautschy (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 31:69

R13

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Joshua Tavares (Puffin) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Win vs gabriel stallings (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

7.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Gravy Bones	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R10	Draft	Gravy Bones	30%	Win	✗	0.69	2.81
R11	Draft	Gravy Bones	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R12	Draft	Gravy Bones	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R13	Draft	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.17
R14	Draft	Scurv, Stowaway	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.33

gabriel stallings

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

5.7

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Parker Pemberton (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R10

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Joshua Tavares (Puffin) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R11

R11 Draft

Round 11: Win vs Nicholas Korner (Unknown)

55:45

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Ryan Miller (Marlynn) - Expected: 55:45

R13

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Brandon Coyle (Unknown)

50:50

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

5.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Scurv, Stowaway	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.83
R12	Draft	Marlynn	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.75
R13	Draft	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.17
R14	Draft	Scurv, Stowaway	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Derek Chiu

dropped • 2-4-0

17%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.8

Surp

7.0

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Shane Martin (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Brandon Abarca (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 31:69

30:70

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Alex Cassidy (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 31:69

30:70

R12 Draft

Round 12: Win vs Henry Gomez (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

30:70

R13 Draft

Round 13: Win vs Jonathan Tarris (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

30:70

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs Isaak Krut (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

17% (1/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

7.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Scurv, Stowaway	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	Draft	Gravy Bones	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R11	Draft	Gravy Bones	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R12	Draft	Gravy Bones	30%	Win	✗	0.69	3.38
R13	Draft	Gravy Bones	30%	Win	✗	0.69	3.66
R14	Draft	Gravy Bones	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Parker Pemberton

dropped • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.9

Surp

4.3

Diff

50:50

R9 Draft

Round 9: Win vs gabriel stallings (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R10 Draft

Round 10: Win vs Kristopher Kraemer (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

R11

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Nicholas Tran (Puffin) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

30:70

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Andrew Mendelsohn (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 31:69

30:70

R13 Draft

Round 13: Loss vs Andrew Padlesky (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 31:69

55:45

R14 Draft

Round 14: Loss vs jordan johnson (Marlynn) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Scurv, Stowaway	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50
R10	Draft	Gravy Bones	30%	Win	✗	0.69	2.81
R11	Draft	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	Draft	Gravy Bones	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R13	Draft	Gravy Bones	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R14	Draft	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Justin Law

dropped • 0-4-0

50%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

30:70

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 31:69

30:70

R10 Draft

Round 10: Loss vs Daniel Brouillet (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 31:69

55:45

R11 Draft

Round 11: Loss vs Ryan Miller (Marlynn) - Expected: 55:45

R12

R12 Draft

Round 12: Loss vs Nicholas Korner (Unknown)

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Gravy Bones	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R10	Draft	Gravy Bones	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R11	Draft	Marlynn	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R12	Draft	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Nicholas Tagg

dropped • 0-1-0

Meta

-0.3

Perf

0.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

30:70

R9 Draft

Round 9: Loss vs Isaak Krut (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

0% (0/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (0.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R9	Draft	Gravy Bones	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.