Battle Hardened: Taipei - Cindra, Dracai of Retribution (CC)

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

YuDi Chen

5th • 5-3-0

12%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.9

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs 藍白 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs 左承勳 (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Joel Guzman (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs GAO ZHI-PENG (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Hao-Han Chuang (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Carlo Ople (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Carlo Ople (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

12% (1/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.09
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.30
R3	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.54
R4	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.94
R6	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Win	✗	0.63	1.08
R7	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R8	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Jing Hao Fang

21st • 4-3-0

29%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.2

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs OWN HSIANG YU (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Manson Hsiau (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Daniel Nisthal (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tai-Yuan Chen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs 陳子豫 (Unknown)

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs CHUN-CHIEH CHENG (Unknown)

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs CHIU CHUNG-YI (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.16
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.48
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Hung Aaa_Man

50th • 2-5-0

43%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.6

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs 莊子毅 (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs MIN HSU (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs 陸宗彥 (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs LIN TING-WEI (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 35:65

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Manson Hsiau (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Andy Ko (Unknown)

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.19
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.39
R5	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R7	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

kou rui yang

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.4

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Cheng Chun-You (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Teoh Juwern (Unknown)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jan Ray Teh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Aurora, Shooting Star	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.36
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.