FaB-Results
Arakni, Marionette

Arakni, Marionette

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Po-Chuan Lin
17th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.3
Diff
Fang, Dracai of Blades
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs MIN HSU (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 66:34
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sun Yu Lin (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 63:37
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
Prism, Awakener of Sol
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joey Jiik (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs OWN HSIANG YU (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 36:64
Aurora, Shooting Star
!
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ma Kang shuo (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Stop-Ting Hsu (Unknown)
Daniel Nisthal
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs tim Lin ()
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yaoting Wang (Unknown)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jing Hao Fang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Aurora, Shooting Star
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gaia Enomoto (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 33:67

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.