Prism, Awakener of Sol

Prism, Awakener of Sol

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

31st 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.6
Diff
Kano, Dracai of Aether
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs ZongRu Wu (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chang Huan Jui (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 陳 子豫 (Unknown)
Arakni, Marionette
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Po-Chuan Lin (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs 王 上熏 (Unknown)
Aurora, Shooting Star
!
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Cheng Chun-You (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Dash I/O
!
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alexander Jan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
47th 3-3-1
86%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.7
Diff
Nuu, Alluring Desire
!
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Oh Oh (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Dorinthea Ironsong
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mok Marcus (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
Aurora, Shooting Star
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Cian Yi Lin (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 陳 子豫 (Unknown)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Yu Wang (Unknown)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mo mo (Unknown)
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kieran Moon (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.