Dorinthea Ironsong
1 players • Match results by round
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dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs CHIU CHUNG-YI (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 16:84
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cheng-Chong Tang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 左 承勳 (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chen Yi-Lin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.