Calling: Florence 2024 - Florian (Sealed)

Florian

59 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Francesco Giorgio

5th • 8-0-0

100%

Meta

+4.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

4.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Gianluigi Lia (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Gergely Kovacs (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Danilo Calcagno (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Robert Szary (Oscilio) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Hanno Lünser (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Tommaso Viscido (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Tomasz Żelazko (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+4.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Oscilio	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.44
R5	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Tomasz Żelazko

5th • 7-1-0

100%

Meta

+2.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Simon Nielsen (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Tom Tucek (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs valentin mackl (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jacob Clements (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Martin Holík (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Jacob Trossing (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Bruno Cracco (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.41
R5	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.77
R7	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jack Raven

5th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Piotr Krzempek (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Riccardo Rotondo (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Unknown)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Jan Vaculík (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs valentin mackl (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Danilo Calcagno (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Hanno Lünser (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.31
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.51
R6	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jean Luka Zorko

11th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Edgar Strogonov (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Mario De Stefano (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Gaia Bormida (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Adrien Krifa (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Mark Henderson ()

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Artur Wysocki (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Nicolas Scandalis (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Oliver Gehrig (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.20
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Martin Holík

13th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Davide Giacca (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Long Dao (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Thiago Almeida Cunha (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Patrick Urfer (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Hanno Lünser (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.20
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Max Dieckmann

14th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Maniša Njegomir (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Robert Szary (Oscilio) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Tibor Csonka (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs filippo Serafini (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Axel Gay (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Michał Sierszulski (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Antonio Briola (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Oscilio	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.51
R5	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.72
R8	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Nicolas Scandalis

18th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Leoluca Colletti (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Sebastiano Zagatti (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Lorenzo Miele (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Rafał Liwerski (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Arnold Baars (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.20
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.77
R7	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Edoardo Galli

19th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Matteo Balugani (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Žan Baumgartner (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Mat Campbell (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Andrea Nicastro (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Matt Schubert (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Andrea Caregnato (Unknown)

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Eser Unger (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Diego Paoletti (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.51
R5	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.72
R8	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Mirko Dolce

20th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Nicolas Scandalis (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Andrea Nicastro (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Bruno Cracco (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Aleix Córdoba (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs valentin mackl (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Oliver Gehrig (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Bart de Jong (Unknown)

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Simon Nielsen (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.26
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Philip van Donselaar

34th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.5

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Andrea Del Moro (Oscilio) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Lorenzo Latino (Oscilio) - Expected: 54:46

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Alex Munceanu (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Oliver Gehrig (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Paul van Gijssel (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Isaac Murray (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Oscilio	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.11
R2	Sealed	Oscilio	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.22
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.64
R6	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.61
R7	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Bruno Cracco

35th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.0

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Siméon Gruel (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Isaac Murray (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Mateusz Sass (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Robert Szary (Oscilio) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Geoffroy Massard (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.10
R2	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.20
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R5	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Oscilio	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.66
R7	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Artur Wysocki

dropped • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

3.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Nino Chimenti (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Long Dao (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Kevin Zänker (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Ian Zhang (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Kamil Rejman (Unknown)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Lorenzo Tarateta (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.31
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.03

Diego Paoletti

40th • 5-2-1

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Draw vs Alessandro Segradin (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Thomas Six (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Angelo Zaccardi (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Christian Fichtner (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Alex Munceanu (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Sebastian Kleiner (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Edoardo Galli (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.64
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.90
R8	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Daniele Frattarelli

22nd • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Tibor Csonka (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Eser Unger (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Richard Kruithof (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Oscilio) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Simon Nielsen (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Martin Holík (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.20
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Oscilio	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.44
R5	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Mateusz Sass

29th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Mulato (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Simone Pirota (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Michał Krzyżyk (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Bruno Cracco (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Valerio Colonna (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Unknown)

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Thiago Almeida Cunha (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.38
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.77
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Michał Sierszulski

31st • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Thomas Six (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Tuomas Lampinen (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Axel Gay (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Danilo Calcagno (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Max Dieckmann (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Xavier Aubert (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.26
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Hanno Lünser

36th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Tiziano Biagetti (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Stefano Meoni ()

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Arnold Baars (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Szots Daniel ()

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Martin Holík (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Lorenzo Cavazzini ()

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Jack Raven (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.38
R4	Sealed		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Francesco Motta

37th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Gergely Kovacs (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Gianluca Razza (Oscilio) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Matteo Brunori (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Eser Unger (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Luca Barcella (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Unknown)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Alessandro Brogi (Unknown)

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro (Oscilio) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Oscilio	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.22
R3	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.31
R4	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.41
R5	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.51
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Oscilio	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.88

Žan Baumgartner

41st • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Edoardo Galli (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Robert Szary (Oscilio) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Daniele Bigagli (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Unknown)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Alessandro Brogi (Unknown)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Andrea Colombo (Unknown)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Sebastiano Zagatti (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Oscilio	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Patrick Urfer

42nd • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.1

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Leoluca Colletti (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Francisc Loghin (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Christian Drabusenigg (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Martin Holík (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Claudio Paradiso (Unknown)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Szots Daniel ()

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Luca Barcella (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.10
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R8	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Richard Kruithof

44th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Sebastiano Zagatti (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Piero Carini (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Christian Drabusenigg (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Unknown)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Faustin Falissard (Unknown)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Freddy Friedrich (Unknown)

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Emlyn Ingram (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Daniel Mulato

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Mateusz Sass (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Lorenzo Ralli (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Thomas Preyer (Oscilio) - Expected: 54:46

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Christian Drabusenigg (Unknown)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Antonio Briola (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Adrien Krifa (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Faustin Falissard (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.20
R3	Sealed	Oscilio	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.33
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R7	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Piotr Krzempek

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Elista Cyrek (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Jack Raven (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Andrea Del Moro (Oscilio) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Gabriele Marcantonio (Oscilio) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Mat Campbell (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Xavier Aubert (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Tibor Csonka (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Jonny Chapman (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Oscilio	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.33
R4	Sealed	Oscilio	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.44
R5	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.51
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.82

Adrien Krifa

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Florian Schmidt (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Francesco D'Amendola (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Giulio Monaco (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Antonio Briola (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Gaia Bormida (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Mulato (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Alex Munceanu (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.20
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Danilo Calcagno

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.6

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Matteo Brunori (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Giuseppe Cervone (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs David Chirulescu (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Michał Sierszulski (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Erika Forslöf (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Jack Raven (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Kamil Rejman (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.10
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Enrico Collini

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Axel Gay (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Alessio Candido (Unknown)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Lorenzo Latino (Oscilio) - Expected: 54:46

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Freddy Friedrich (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Riccardo Santini (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Edgar Strogonov (Unknown)

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Andrea Colombo (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Oscilio	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.44
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.77
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Georg Sossnowetz

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Christian Drabusenigg (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Faustin Falissard (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Samuel Mudry (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Maniša Njegomir (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Stefan Stäger (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Claudio Paradiso (Unknown)

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Bart de Jong (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Matt Schubert

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Lorenzo Tarateta (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Stefano tosoni (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Bottino Valerio (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Xavier Mudry (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Edoardo Galli (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Alex Munceanu (Unknown)

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Giuseppe Cervone (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.38
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Rafał Liwerski

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Markus Reichhart (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Lorenzo Petrone (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Elista Cyrek (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Nicolas Scandalis (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Freddy Friedrich (Unknown)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Geoffroy Massard (Unknown)

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Antonio Briola (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Sebastiano Zagatti

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Richard Kruithof (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Siméon Gruel (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Nicolas Scandalis (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Krisztiàn Lajkò (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Botond Szujó (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Lorenzo Tarateta (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Žan Baumgartner (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.20
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.72
R8	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tibor Csonka

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Natan Tomeo (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Adriano Izzi (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Tuomas Lampinen (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Markus Reichhart (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Piotr Krzempek (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Michał Krzyżyk (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Markus Reichhart

dropped • 3-4-1

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Rafał Liwerski (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Draw vs Gianluigi Lia (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Pierre Selebran (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Karl Naylor (Unknown)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Alessandro Jaselli (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Tibor Csonka (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Davide Ricci (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.51
R6	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Alicja Kucharska

dropped • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.1

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Mat Campbell (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Gianluca Razza (Oscilio) - Expected: 54:46

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Stefan Drabusenigg (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs William Borwick (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Tiziano Biagetti (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Davide Ricci (Unknown)

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	Sealed	Oscilio	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Axel Gay

dropped • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Enrico Collini (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Alessandro Esposto (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Michał Sierszulski (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Mat Campbell (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Unknown)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Stefano Meoni ()

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Lorenzo Latino (Oscilio) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.41
R5	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Oscilio	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

William Borwick

dropped • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Oliver Gehrig (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Unknown)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Francesco Buoso (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Davide Masella (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Alicja Kucharska (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Federico Sirri (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Lorenzo Latino (Oscilio) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Alessandro Jaselli (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	Sealed	Oscilio	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R8	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.82

Davide Giacca

dropped • 2-4-2

100%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Martin Holík (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Draw vs Botond Szujó (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jonas Wust (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Draw vs Matteo Balugani (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Angelo Zaccardi (Unknown)

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Alessandro Jaselli (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Gaetano Ferrara (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Florian	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.72
R8	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Tiziano Biagetti

dropped • 2-5-1

100%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Hanno Lünser (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Valerio Colonna (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Massimiliano Sacco (Unknown)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Antonio Briola (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Draw vs Angelo Zaccardi (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Alicja Kucharska (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Alessandro Esposto (Unknown)

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Brodie Spurlock

3rd • 6-1-0

100%

Meta

+2.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

3.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jack Raven (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Riccardo Rotondo (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Stefano Meoni ()

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Giulio Monaco (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Unknown)

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Faustin Falissard (Unknown)

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Michael Feng (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.23
R4	Sealed		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.14

Oliver Gehrig

39th • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs William Borwick (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Kamil Rejman (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Andrea Caregnato (Unknown)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Paul van Gijssel (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R8	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Florian Schmidt

dropped • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Adrien Krifa (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Davide Cimmino (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Isaac Murray (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Viet Pham (Unknown)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Faustin Falissard (Unknown)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Davide Ricci (Unknown)

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Robert Szary (Oscilio) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Oscilio	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Giulio Monaco

dropped • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Virginia Rosenberg (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Michał Krzyżyk (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Adrien Krifa (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Freddy Friedrich (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Luca Barcella (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Valerio Colonna (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R7	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Alexander Hempelmann

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Žan Baumgartner (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Alessandro Jaselli (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Giuseppe Cervone (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Davide Giacca (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Gaia Bormida (Unknown)

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Lorenzo Cavazzini ()

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Sealed		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

David Chirulescu

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Lorenzo Miele (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jan Vaculík (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Danilo Calcagno (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Georg Sossnowetz (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Sebastian Kleiner (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R3	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

valentin mackl

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Botond Szujó (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Tomasz Żelazko (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Jack Raven (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Florin-Cristian Loghin

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Sebastian Kleiner (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Daniele Bigagli (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs valentin mackl (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Stefano Meoni ()

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Matt Schubert (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.17
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Stefan Stäger

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Sebok Gabor (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs René Rosenberg (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Daniele Bigagli (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Davide Ricci (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Lorenzo Tarateta (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Georg Sossnowetz (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Matteo Balugani

dropped • 1-3-2

100%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Edoardo Galli (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Draw vs Massimiliano Sacco (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Edoardo Di Napoli (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Gianluca Razza (Oscilio) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Draw vs Davide Giacca (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Lorenzo Latino (Oscilio) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.51
R4	Sealed	Oscilio	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R5	Sealed	Florian	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Oscilio	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Daniele Bigagli

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Emlyn Ingram (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Stefan Stäger (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Žan Baumgartner (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Erika Forslöf (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Xavier Mudry

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.3

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Oscilio) - Expected: 54:46

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Stefan Drabusenigg (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Valerio Colonna (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Matt Schubert (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Lorenzo Latino (Oscilio) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Oscilio	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Oscilio	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.88

Francisc Loghin

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Adriano Izzi (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Patrick Urfer (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Edgar Strogonov (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Federico Sirri (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Gergely Kovacs

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Francesco Motta (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Faustin Falissard (Unknown)

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Jonas Wust

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Andrea Caregnato (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Davide Giacca (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Natan Tomeo (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Lorenzo Petrone

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Davide Masella (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Rafał Liwerski (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Andrea Colombo (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Sebok Gabor

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Stefan Stäger (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Davide Ricci (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Francesco Zampieri (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Emlyn Ingram (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tiziano Suran

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Stefan Drabusenigg (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Lorenzo Cavazzini ()

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Andrea Caregnato (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Tuomas Lampinen (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Sealed		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Natan Tomeo

dropped • 0-4-0

100%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Piergiorgio Villani (Oscilio) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Tibor Csonka (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Jonas Wust (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Oscilio	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Davide Cimmino

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Riccardo Rotondo (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Florian Schmidt (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Riccardo Santini (Aurora) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Nino Chimenti

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Gennaro Ciampa Mango (Verdance) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Artur Wysocki (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Angelo Zaccardi (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Thomas Six

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Michał Sierszulski (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Lorenzo Miele (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Diego Paoletti (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.