Calling: Florence 2024 - Oscilio (Sealed)

Oscilio

8 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Robert Szary

26th • 6-2-0

25%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

4.2

Surp

3.5

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Bastien LAVIGNON (Verdance) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Max Dieckmann (Florian) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Žan Baumgartner (Florian) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Florian) - Expected: 46:54

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs René Rosenberg (Unknown)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Bruno Cracco (Florian) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Florian Schmidt (Florian) - Expected: 46:54

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Szots Daniel ()

Meta Fit

25% (2/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Verdance	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.17
R2	Sealed	Florian	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.28
R3	Sealed	Florian	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.42
R4	Sealed	Florian	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Florian	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R7	Sealed	Florian	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.99
R8	Sealed		50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Lorenzo Latino

dropped • 4-4-0

25%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.1

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Pierre Selebran (Unknown)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Florian) - Expected: 46:54

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Freddy Friedrich (Unknown)

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Enrico Collini (Florian) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Xavier Mudry (Florian) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Matteo Balugani (Florian) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs William Borwick (Florian) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Axel Gay (Florian) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

25% (2/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Florian	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Florian	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	Sealed	Florian	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	Sealed	Florian	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.85
R7	Sealed	Florian	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.99
R8	Sealed	Florian	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.13

Mauro Giuseppe Di Lauro

dropped • 4-4-0

62%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Bart de Jong (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Freddy Friedrich (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Elista Cyrek (Unknown)

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Florian) - Expected: 46:54

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Lorenzo Cavazzini ()

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Verdance) - Expected: 38:62

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Michael Feng (Unknown)

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Francesco Motta (Florian) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Florian	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	Sealed		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Verdance	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R7	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Florian	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Piergiorgio Villani

dropped • 4-4-0

50%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.8

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Natan Tomeo (Florian) - Expected: 46:54

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Christian Drabusenigg (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Andrea Nicastro (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Giuseppe Cervone (Unknown)

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Verdance) - Expected: 38:62

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Claudio Paradiso (Unknown)

40:60

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Luca Barcella (Verdance) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Verdance) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.14
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Verdance	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Verdance	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R8	Sealed	Verdance	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Gianluca Razza

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Thiago Almeida Cunha (Unknown)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Francesco Motta (Florian) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Alicja Kucharska (Florian) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Matteo Balugani (Florian) - Expected: 46:54

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Eser Unger (Verdance) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Florian	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	Sealed	Florian	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.68
R4	Sealed	Florian	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.90
R5	Sealed	Verdance	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Thomas Preyer

dropped • 2-2-0

25%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.7

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Xavier Mudry (Florian) - Expected: 46:54

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Mark Henderson ()

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Mulato (Florian) - Expected: 46:54

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Francesco Lorenzi (Verdance) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.28
R2	Sealed		50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Florian	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	Sealed	Verdance	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.38

Gabriele Marcantonio

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Kamil Rejman (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Erika Forslöf (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Stefan Drabusenigg (Unknown)

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Piotr Krzempek (Florian) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Sealed	Florian	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Andrea Del Moro

dropped • 0-4-0

25%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Florian) - Expected: 46:54

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Luca Barcella (Verdance) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Piotr Krzempek (Florian) - Expected: 46:54

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Massimiliano Sacco (Unknown)

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Florian	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	Sealed	Verdance	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	Sealed	Florian	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.