Kayo at Battle Hardened: Florence 2024

Kayo

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Emlyn Ingram

5th • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.1

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Andrea Caregnato (Kayo, Berserker Runt) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

50:50

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Federico Sirri (Aurora) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Erika Forslöf (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 57:43

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Alessandro Pistelli (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

25:75

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Data Doll MKII) - Expected: 27:73

55:45

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Antonio Kutter (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 57:43

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Alessandro Pistelli (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kayo, Berserker Runt	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Blitz	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.30
R3	Blitz	Blaze, Firemind	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.35
R4	Blitz	Victor Goldmane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Blitz	Data Doll MKII	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R6	Blitz	Blaze, Firemind	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.69
R7	Blitz	Victor Goldmane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Stefano Meoni

5th • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.7

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Francesco D'Amendola (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 57:43

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Francisc Loghin (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Fuad Omar (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Federico Sirri (Aurora) - Expected: 48:52

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Alessandro Pistelli (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

55:45

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Blitz	Blaze, Firemind	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	Blitz	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Blitz	Prism	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Blitz	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.75
R6	Blitz	Victor Goldmane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Blitz	Blaze, Firemind	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Angelo Zaccardi

15th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.7

Diff

25:75

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Data Doll MKII) - Expected: 27:73

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Jan Vaculík (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Gergely Kovacs (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Hempelmann (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 57:43

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Andrea Caregnato (Kayo, Berserker Runt) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Viet Pham (Unknown)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Data Doll MKII	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R2	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Blitz	Blaze, Firemind	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R5	Blitz	Kayo, Berserker Runt	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Gergely Kovacs

27th • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Bernardo José Alves (Unknown)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Six (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Angelo Zaccardi (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Andrea Caregnato (Kayo, Berserker Runt) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Unknown)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Blitz	Victor Goldmane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Kayo, Berserker Runt	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Sebastiano Zagatti

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Andrea Del Moro (Aurora) - Expected: 48:52

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Kevin Zänker (Unknown)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Viet Pham (Unknown)

40:60

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Matteo Blasi (Florian) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Davide Masella (Unknown)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Florian	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.13
R5	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.