Blaze, Firemind at Battle Hardened: Florence 2024
Blaze, Firemind
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 8-1-0
89%
Meta
+3.6
Perf
4.4
Surp
4.7
Diff
R1
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Win vs Kevin Zänker (Unknown)
R2
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Win vs Andrea Del Moro (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
45:55
R3 Blitz
Round 3: Loss vs Emlyn Ingram (Kayo) - Expected: 43:57
R4
R4 Blitz
Round 4: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R5
R5 Blitz
Round 5: Win vs Robert Crone (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R6
R6 Blitz
Round 6: Win vs Federico Sirri (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R7 Blitz
Round 7: Win vs Antonio Kutter (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R8
R8 Blitz
Round 8: Win vs Alessandro Pistelli (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R9 Blitz
Round 9: Win vs Alexander Hempelmann (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Win |
2nd • 7-2-0
78%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
4.6
Surp
4.0
Diff
R1
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Win vs Thiago Almeida Cunha (Unknown)
R2
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Loss vs Fuad Omar (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R3
R3 Blitz
Round 3: Win vs Matteo Brunori (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
45:55
R4 Blitz
Round 4: Win vs Angelo Zaccardi (Kayo) - Expected: 43:57
R5
R5 Blitz
Round 5: Win vs Thomas Six (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R6
R6 Blitz
Round 6: Win vs Thomas Preyer (Data Doll MKII) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R7 Blitz
Round 7: Win vs Stefano Meoni (Kayo) - Expected: 43:57
R8
R8 Blitz
Round 8: Win vs Thomas Preyer (Data Doll MKII) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R9 Blitz
Round 9: Loss vs Erika Forslöf (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Data Doll MKII | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Data Doll MKII | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Loss |
5th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
R1
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Unknown)
R2
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Win vs Rafał Liwerski (Unknown)
R3
R3 Blitz
Round 3: Win vs Thomas Six (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R4
R4 Blitz
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Data Doll MKII) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R5 Blitz
Round 5: Win vs Gabe Sher (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R6 Blitz
Round 6: Loss vs Emlyn Ingram (Kayo) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R7 Blitz
Round 7: Loss vs Erika Forslöf (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Data Doll MKII | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Loss |
9th • 4-2-0
83%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
R1
R1 Blitz
Round 1: Win vs Francisc Loghin (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
45:55
R2 Blitz
Round 2: Win vs Stefano Meoni (Kayo) - Expected: 43:57
R3
R3 Blitz
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Data Doll MKII) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R4
R4 Blitz
Round 4: Win vs Lorenzo Ralli (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R5 Blitz
Round 5: Loss vs Antonio Kutter (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R6
R6 Blitz
Round 6: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Unknown)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Data Doll MKII | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Blaze, Firemind | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.