Kano, Dracai of Aether
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
20th • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
6.1
Surp
4.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs loki chan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs (IG) Davin (Unknown)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ramon Bernardino Del Rosario (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ferdinand Mendoza (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Po Yu Lin (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 48:52
Round 6: Win vs Dennis Yip (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dawcious Chen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Evan Bicknell (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Eugene Phua (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Kelvin Law (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Nova Chan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
33rd • 8-4-0
42%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
5.8
Surp
4.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Muhamad Fachrul (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alaric Ng (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pathomtarn (Tony) Arsaithamkul (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lowell Jr. Barton (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 65:35
Round 5: Win vs Denny Koh (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jacky Ho (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ying Chieh Liu (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Elijah Joseph Campos (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs John Zapata (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Xie Hang Yeo (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jackie wong (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ricky Lianto (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Oscar S (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Xi Shern (IG) Tan (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 65:35
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Dowling (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Wai Leem Au Yong (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jason Zhang (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Taine Markley (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Torpong Juntree (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christian Andersen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kyrios Mak (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Edgar Leroy de Pedro (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bryan Kong (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 47:53
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Unknown)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nakara Juntavong (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eugene Lim (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lucas Ward (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Abdul Naeem Green (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Gordon Koh Koh (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
Round 6: Loss vs Clarence Foo (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Austin Somers (Unknown)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Yau (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chung Si Chia (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 27:73
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kanokpatch Chansirichok (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Cesar Yrick Sevilla (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Waynne Tan (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Louis Glenn (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Phumin kidlertlam (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lane Thomason (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Charles Law (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hermann Yeo (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs John Zapata (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Odi Winata (Unknown)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs loki chan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Derry (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Charlesman Lee (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 52:48
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chun On Anson Wong (Unknown)
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew T (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 27:73
Round 6: Loss vs HOANG LONG LUU (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Marlo Cruz (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Xavier Tan (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kean Onn Lim (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs rangsiman sriphueak (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.