Briar, Warden of Thorns at Calling: Singapore 2023
Briar, Warden of Thorns
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
46th • 7-5-0
67%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
5.6
Surp
3.8
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gerard Sarmenta (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 78:22
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sebastian Lim (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Win vs Clint Aranas (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ivan Teo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tze Yang Chen (Unknown)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Xiaonan Zou (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Randy Stephen (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Pei-Tung Liao (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jason Zhang (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Michael Feng (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Connor Leverton (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Darrell Yeo (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rocko Yan (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chia Yong Teck (Unknown)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs SU WEI MING (Unknown)
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 78:22
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Thinesh Kumar A/L Premkumar (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 78:22
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs James Yeo (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 78:22
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs John Zapata (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Waynne Tan (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dave Chia (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 78:22
Round 5: Loss vs Law [Blue Pitch] Wen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tim Gunderson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ekalux Ua-areemitr (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-1
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.9
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gary Lee (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 72:28
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Ming chuen Bay (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Oscar S (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 蕉蕉人 JoeB (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs FUNG CC (Unknown)
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Thinesh Kumar A/L Premkumar (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 78:22
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs (IG) Davin (Unknown)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Draw |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Bicknell (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 19:81
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kangsen Ang (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 71:29
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Handy Wijaya (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66
Round 4: Loss vs Timothy Teo (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs (IG) Davin (Unknown)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs HOANG LONG LUU (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 70:30
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 80% | Loss |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 70% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ricky Lianto (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Charlie Thompson (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Xavier Tan (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hilmi Halim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
Round 5: Win vs Scarlett Yeh (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Rusling (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.8
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Liam Bennett (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 19:81
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ngoc Nguyen (Unknown)
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Tong (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs "Haste" Sompong Leartvimolkasame (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs M Ramzi (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 71:29
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Cyrus Wong (Unknown)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
100%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Xiaonan Zou (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zafri Jeffri (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chun On Anson Wong (Unknown)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lih Song Tan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.