Iyslander, Stormbind
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 10-4-0
79%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
6.2
Surp
3.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew T (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 63:37
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Fu Kah Deng (Unknown)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Khoi Dinh (Unknown)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicholas On (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hayden Dale (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 62:38
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Isaac Murray (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs chen shr jiang (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
Round 9: Win vs Fee Sen Sei (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 62:38
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Matt Rogers (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50
70:30
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Xi Shern (IG) Tan (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 71:29
Round 14: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
79% (11/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (7.5 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 70% | Win |
| R14 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Loss |
9th • 9-3-0
67%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
6.0
Surp
4.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marcus Ho (Unknown)
Round 3: Win vs Ane van der Mescht (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Theodore Tan (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alexander Dobler (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 82:18
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dawcious Chen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Eugene Phua (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kelvin Ng (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Sable Wang-Wills (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs John Zapata (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
Round 11: Loss vs Hayden Dale (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 12: Win vs Isaac Murray (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Win |
43rd • 7-5-0
67%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
5.2
Surp
2.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chung Si Chia (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kenn Lau (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Lim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Darrell Yeo (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs David Yau (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Allen Lau (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mervyn Lin (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Daniel Rusling (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs chen shr jiang (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs kazuma kuwahara (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 62:38
80:20
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Chanon Puttaree (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 82:18
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Fee Sen Sei (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 80% | Win |
| R12 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
50th • 6-6-0
75%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
5.7
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bryan Kong (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hilmi Halim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chia Yong Teck (Unknown)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Xiaonan Zou (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jordan Kassiotis (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 71:29
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hariz Hamdan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 69:31
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Odi Winata (Unknown)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Darrell Yeo (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Elijah Joseph Campos (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 36:64
Round 11: Loss vs Thomas Dowling (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Round 12: Loss vs Xie Hang Yeo (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (6.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-1
71%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tim Gunderson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34
Round 2: Loss vs Charles Law (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Teoh Juwern (Unknown)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Michael Tong (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs "Haste" Sompong Leartvimolkasame (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Wayne Tsui (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 43:57
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tiger Mckenzie (Unknown)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 60% | Draw |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.