Fai, Rising Rebellion
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
15th • 9-3-0
42%
Meta
+3.4
Perf
6.1
Surp
5.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Ervin Lam (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44
Round 3: Win vs Aiden Wong (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Liam Xian Xun (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ricky Lianto (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kelvin Ng (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Handy Wijaya (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ray lam (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37
Round 9: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 10: Win vs Ji Timm Lee (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Round 11: Win vs Chun Huat Kua (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Eugene Phua (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Loss |
| R10 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R11 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Johnson Lim (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacky Ho (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Wai Hong Tang (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hilbert Lee Hong Ye (Unknown)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs CHIU CHUNG-YI (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
Round 6: Loss vs Gordon Koh Koh (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 7: Win vs Ho Wei jie. (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chun On Anson Wong (Unknown)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs chen shr jiang (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Aiden Wong (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Elise Dayanghirang (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hung Aaa_Man (Unknown)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Xiaonan Zou (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs HOANG LONG LUU (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 55:45
Round 2: Loss vs kazuma kuwahara (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ervin Lam (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 37:63
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chuck Cruz (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs SU WEI MING (Unknown)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hochun Lai (Unknown)
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Quang Duong (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Reeve Chia (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 34:66
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chuan Han Goh (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 60:40
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Austin Somers (Unknown)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Malcolm Song (Unknown)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Denny Koh (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dion Ngelow (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Elise Dayanghirang (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ian Chan (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lu Wei Soh (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs (IG) Derk Hua (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Chuan Han Goh (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Roy Chiang (Unknown)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Edgar Leroy de Pedro (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Nathan Lucev (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Clint Aranas (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sran Thongsory (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Waynne Tan (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 37:63
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jezreel Olarte (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: 63:37
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Shi Feng Chee (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Andrew Merifield (Unknown)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-0
17%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Liam Xian Xun (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Win vs Shi Feng Chee (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs (IG) Derk Hua (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 61:39
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs (IG) Clement Ling (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ho Wei jie. (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 32:68
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs (IG) Abdul Salam (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Abdul Naeem Green (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Clement Cheng (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 35:65
Round 3: Loss vs Charlie Thompson (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.