Calling: Singapore 2023 - Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn (CC)

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Chanon Puttaree

51st • 6-6-0

42%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

5.2

Surp

2.6

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Gillian Barzaga (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory

15:85

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Chantad Tanapisutporn (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Clinton Ng (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46

15:85

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Allen Lau (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 17:83

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Darrell Yeo (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Cliff Wong (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Phillip Hadley McKay (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 53:47

15:85

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Seb Kho (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 17:83

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Michael Feng (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs chen shr jiang (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52

20:80

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Evan Bicknell (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 18:82

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Nicholas On (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

42% (5/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

5.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	25%	Win	✗	0.73	0.16
R2	CC	Lexi, Livewire	15%	Win	✗	0.83	0.42
R3	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.22
R4	CC	Lexi, Livewire	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R6	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R7	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.54
R8	CC	Lexi, Livewire	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R9	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R10	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R11	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R12	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Kean Onn Lim

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Lim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Helmi Khairul (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 54:46

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Melvin Chew (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 36:64

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tiger Mckenzie (Unknown)

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Heng KY (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Neo Teng Whay (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Gerard Sarmenta (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.26
R3	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.72
R7	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.04

Alexander Dobler

dropped • 3-3-0

17%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Marlo Cruz (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 47:53

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nigel Teo (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Prempracha Saensupar (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Eugene Lim (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 47:53

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 18:82

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Bryan Tang (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

17% (1/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.18
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.55
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.73
R5	CC	Iyslander, Stormbind	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R6	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.