Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn at Calling: Singapore 2023
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
3 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
51st • 6-6-0
58%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
5.8
Surp
2.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Gillian Barzaga (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Chantad Tanapisutporn (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Clinton Ng (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Allen Lau (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 28:72
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Darrell Yeo (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 25:75
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Cliff Wong (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Phillip Hadley McKay (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Seb Kho (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: 28:72
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Michael Feng (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs chen shr jiang (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Evan Bicknell (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Nicholas On (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Lim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Helmi Khairul (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Melvin Chew (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tiger Mckenzie (Unknown)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Heng KY (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Neo Teng Whay (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Gerard Sarmenta (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marlo Cruz (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nigel Teo (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 25:75
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Prempracha Saensupar (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eugene Lim (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Bryan Tang (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.