Azalea, Ace in the Hole at Calling: Manila
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
12 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
26th • 7-4-0
64%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
5.5
Surp
3.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs CK Lee (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brandon Hendra (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mark David Octavio (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Xavier McLean (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Aaron Lee (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Pudding Tam (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Rod Waje (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
64% (7/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
4.7
Surp
2.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs michael Joseph Villano (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs KACER OCSAN (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chanon Puttaree (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Win vs Zack Jarmyn (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Troy Fiel (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Shing Tsang (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jaime Manzano (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Matthew Ericsson Marquez (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chard Tan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bun Ar (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marlon Ilagan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Simon Quirico Gamallo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alexander miguel SY (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Orlando Ampo (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Junnel Ivan Camacho (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aldrin Paul Arugay (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Josh Kijak (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jon Torres (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Harvey Jade Jadena (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
Round 6: Win vs Christian Agupitan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dominik Däther (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Reynald Jay Payad (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Paul Lansang (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kai Young Tan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Zack Jarmyn (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Manson Hsiau (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jian Botor (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Aldrin Paul Arugay (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Allen Lau (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Win vs Hariz Hamdan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marlon Ilagan (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mason Galvan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mark Angelo Gonzales (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Troy Fiel (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Loss vs Khyle Kent Alviz (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Takahiro Motooka (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Paul Lansang (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mort Castillo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs FUNG CC (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Troy Gales (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs YuDi Chen (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
Round 3: Win vs Arman Mapa (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs KACER OCSAN (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Christian Francisco (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yutaro Sato (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Arman Mapa (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Regin Kevin Pilapil (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs James Vincent Wong (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kent Aldwin Celino (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jomari Daniel Panganiban (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Fee Sen Sei (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Leejan Dwayne Joshua Balagtas (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs James Vincent Wong (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ralph Gomeri (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Edward Theodore Bareng (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Francis Leocadio Legaspi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Risa Shioji (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Joniel Ibasco (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Trix Ferreras (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Carlo Ople (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Victor Felix (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jian Botor (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nakara Juntavong (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
Round 2: Loss vs Lucinio De Guzman (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sean Peters (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 71:29
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 70% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.