Fai, Rising Rebellion at Calling: Manila
Fai, Rising Rebellion
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mark David Octavio (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs G. Miguel Paolo De Guzman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aaron Lee (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs hiroshi kanaya (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 5: Loss vs Chih Wei Huang (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.