Vynnset, Iron Maiden at Calling: Manila

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Manson Hsiau

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jason Dela Torre (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs michael Joseph Villano (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Justin Cu (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Keefe Cabasa (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jin Han Toh (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 26:74

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs John Rhey Santa Agata (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 36:64

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Franklin Angelo Santos (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	25%	Win	✗	0.74	0.55
R3	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R7	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Qeith Josef Gamallo

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.1

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Deitrich Mohan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Christian Francisco (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Troy Gales (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Keenan Fernandez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Reinier Jumaquio (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Genico Boy (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.31
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.76
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ramon Bernardino Del Rosario

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.5

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Dominik Däther (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 26:74

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Josh Kijak (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Einan Dominic Ramos (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 53:47

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Johann Louie Ong (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.