Calling: Manila - Vynnset, Iron Maiden (CC)

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Manson Hsiau

dropped • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.8

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jason Dela Torre (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 63:37

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs michael Joseph Villano (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Justin Cu (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 18:82

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Keefe Cabasa (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jin Han Toh (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs John Rhey Santa Agata (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Franklin Angelo Santos (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.10
R2	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.45
R3	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R5	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R7	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.30

Qeith Josef Gamallo

dropped • 2-4-0

17%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.8

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Deitrich Mohan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Christian Francisco (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Troy Gales (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Keenan Fernandez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 43:57

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Reinier Jumaquio (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Genico Boy (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

17% (1/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	80%	Loss	✓	0.78	-
R2	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.51
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.27
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Ramon Bernardino Del Rosario

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.3

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Dominik Däther (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 34:66

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Josh Kijak (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Einan Dominic Ramos (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 35:65

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Johann Louie Ong (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.32
R3	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R4	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.