Kassai of the Golden Sand at Calling: Manila

Kassai of the Golden Sand

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Keenan Fernandez

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.4

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rayvie Anthony Pecajas (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 24:76

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nathan Lucev (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jacky Alexander Chan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Qeith Josef Gamallo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Regin Kevin Pilapil (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs John Paul Baltazar (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 24:76

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Mort Castillo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.32
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.47
R6	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R7	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Joven Carlo Macapagal

dropped • 1-6-0

71%

Meta

-2.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.0

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 24:76

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Franco Antonio Regalado (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 23:77

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Chard Tan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jewey Caballero (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Rainier Noel Andes (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jacky Alexander Chan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R2	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R6	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R7	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Benjamin Prisse

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.8

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Angelito Jr Eusebio (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Gaia Enomoto (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Earl Edison Ang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs paolo mayo (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64

10:90

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Christian Francisco (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 9:91

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	25%	Win	✗	0.76	0.42
R2	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R5	CC	Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry	10%	Loss	✗	0.09	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.