Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn at Calling: Mexico City 2026
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
25th • 7-4-0
73%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
5.6
Surp
4.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Castillo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Sanvicente (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Feng (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joel Reyna (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jorge Octavio Mora Sánchez (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Genaro Ramos (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nico Chavez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
Round 8: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Luis Angel Jiménez Barrios (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 60:40
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Xero Foxsand (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
73% (8/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Forked Continuum | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
30th • 6-5-0
91%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
5.0
Surp
2.3
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rodolfo García (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Julio Alberto Sánchez Torres (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jorge Octavio Mora Sánchez (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Roberto Gael Busnelli Cifuentes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 70:30
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Moisés Mora (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 6: Loss vs Roger Alan Luna Fernandez (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Joseph Sierra (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Octavio chaparro beltran (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Luis Angel Jiménez Barrios (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 60:40
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Roberto Lobato (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
91% (10/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Liz Suastes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 70:30
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Acuña (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 75:25
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 61:39
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Justin Fryar (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Zak Cargin (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Luis Eduardo Garcia Mena (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Julio Heredia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joseph Sierra (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
Round 3: Win vs Diego Solorzano (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jose de Jesus Romero Valdez (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ricardo Ceballos García (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 75:25
Round 6: Win vs Carlos Molina (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Luis Manuel García Luna Perez (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Fernando Avila (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Julio Heredia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Hawkinson (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Win vs Arnoldo Sandoval (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Liam Trodden (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Javier Moreno Varela (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Natanael Eguren (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Arturo Del Castillo Valdez (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Raul Rivero (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ernesto Manzur (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jesus abdias De la paz alvarez (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Eduardo Daniel García Reyes (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs José Carlos Castañeda Freyre (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Manuel Curiel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Forked Continuum | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zak Cargin (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alastor Guzman (Viserai, the Forsaken) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Arturo Rojas (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joseph Sierra (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, the Forsaken | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.