Zyggy Starlight at Calling: Mexico City 2026

Zyggy Starlight

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Raul Rivero

18th • 7-4-0

73%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

4.9

Surp

3.1

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nico Chavez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Oscar Soto (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Moisés Mora (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Raul Verdejo (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Josh Oliveira (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Rafael Eduardo Jaimes Hurtado (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 31:69

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Xero Foxsand (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

30:70

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Roger Alan Luna Fernandez (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 31:69

R10

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Ernesto Manzur (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

30:70

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs David Lewis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

73% (8/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.09
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.18
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.27
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.36
R5	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.55
R7	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R8	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.73
R9	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R10	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.91
R11	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Santiago Mansur

dropped • 3-1-3

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.6

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rafael Ortiz (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs Tristan Del Pako (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Karen Selene Lopez (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs Diego Solorzano (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs None (Unknown)

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jorge Tueme (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jesus abdias De la paz alvarez (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Oscilio, Forked Continuum	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Abril Ruiz

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.0

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jesus Roman (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 31:69

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tom Ross (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Juan Homero Violante (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Abiu Izquierdo

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sapitileo 220 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jesus abdias De la paz alvarez (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Forked Continuum	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.