Vynnset, Iron Maiden at Calling: Mexico City 2026

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Luis Angel Jiménez Barrios

dropped • 5-5-0

30%

Meta

+1.6

Perf

4.7

Surp

3.9

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Karen Selene Lopez (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Natanael Eguren (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 18:82

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nico Chavez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 21:79

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Miguel Mackay (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Diego de Alba Montes (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs luis alberto de la rosa muñoz (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

20:80

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Luke Manship (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Jessie Naamani (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 33:67

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Jacob Hawkinson (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Liam Trodden (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

30% (3/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.10
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	20%	Win	✗	0.82	0.98
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R6	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	20%	Win	✗	0.82	1.72
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R9	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R10	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Alejandro Rihani

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.7

Surp

2.3

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Acuña (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs David Arturo Del Castillo Valdez (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Arnoldo Sandoval (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory

20:80

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sapitileo 220 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 18:82

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Luis Eduardo Garcia Mena (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

20:80

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Raimundo Camino (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 21:79

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	20%	Win	✗	0.79	1.11
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R5	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-

José Roberto Orozco

dropped • 0-4-0

75%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Diego de Alba Montes (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Oscar Rodríguez (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ian Manuel Espinosa Méndez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 21:79

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jorge Tueme (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	20%	Loss	✗	0.21	-
R4	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.