FaB-Results

Vynnset, Iron Maiden at National Championship 2026 - Estonia

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Victor Reis
5th • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
Kassai of the Golden Sand
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gustavo Stabelini (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
Fai, Rising Rebellion
!
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Theo Markus Tõnnov (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nikita Laasmaa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Vadim Pilipenko (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
Juho Hälli
dropped • 1-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
1.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs ILJA Ivantsikov (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 42:58
Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Karl Vilhem Pulk (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 23:77
Valda, Seismic Impact
!
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mathias Nöps (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.