Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Victor Kersten (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mathias Nöps (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Victor Reis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jevgeni Dubei (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Vadim Pilipenko (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Round 9: Loss vs Indrek Orlov (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.