Jarl Vetreiði at National Championship 2026 - Estonia
Jarl Vetreiði
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 3-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aria Loog (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joonas Ervald (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rain Ööpik (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nikita Laasmaa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.