Arakni, Marionette

Arakni, Marionette

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

3rd 4-1-0
60%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
2.5
Diff
Valda, Seismic Impact
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mathias Nöps (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 59:41
Dash I/O
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andres Dorogan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Theo Markus Tõnnov (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Victor Reis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Nikita Laasmaa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
15th 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.4
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rain Ööpik (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Puffin, Hightail
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aleksandr Novikov (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joonas Ervald (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.