Puffin, Hightail
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
14th • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andres Dorogan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dmitri Sidorenko (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 37:63
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mark Zussev (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 83:17
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 85% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.