Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at National Championship 2026 - Estonia
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
18th • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Theo Markus Tõnnov (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Indrek Orlov (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aleksandr Novikov (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 17:83
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 15% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.