Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
17th • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Juho Hälli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rain Ööpik (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Artjom Pertsev (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 17:83
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 15% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.