Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster at National Championship 2026 - Estonia
Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
11th • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.3
Diff
5:95
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Artjom Pertsev (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 6:94
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Juho Hälli (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 77:23
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andres Dorogan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 17:83
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 5% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 15% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.