Katsu, the Wanderer
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
23rd • 4-2-0
83%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
3.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Fredrik Fagerberg (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Paul Petersson-Rebelo (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Niklas Astner (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Johnny Vretlind (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Rickard Ekermann (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.