National Championship 2026 - Hungary - Rhinar, Reckless Rampage (CC)

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Peszlen Zoltán

5th • 3-1-0

75%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

1.7

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Barnabás László (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Csaba "Cranta" Dezső (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs István Balogh (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Márton Kenessey (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.41
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.61
R7	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Imre Simon

5th • 2-2-0

Meta

+0.5

Perf

1.7

Surp

1.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tamás Somoskövi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Bence Vereszki (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Valentin Varga (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

15:85

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Bence Androkity (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 17:83

Meta Fit

0% (0/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.55
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.89
R7	CC	Puffin, Hightail	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-

Robert Secheli

25th • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.1

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Csaba "Cranta" Dezső (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs András Kovács (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Norbert Balogh (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.08

Tamás Lepedus

23rd • 0-3-0

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Szabo Gyuszi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54

15:85

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bence Androkity (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 17:83

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nándor Péntek (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.