Vynnset, Iron Maiden
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
16th • 2-1-0
33%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tamás Lepedus (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marcell Vass (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62
Round 3: Win vs Bálint Tóth (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (1.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.