National Championship 2026 - Hungary - Fang, Dracai of Blades (CC)

Fang, Dracai of Blades

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Márton Kenessey

3rd • 3-2-0

60%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nándor Péntek (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dávid István Kovács (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Marcell Vass (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 47:53

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Peszlen Zoltán (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Marcell Vass (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.31
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R7	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.98
R8	CC	Puffin, Hightail	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Krisztiàn Lajkò

19th • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.1

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Balint Herendi (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 73:27

85:15

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tomor Péter (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 86:14, favorite upset

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Barnabás László (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zyggy Starlight	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.15
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	85%	Loss	✓	0.86	-
R3	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Nándor Péntek

21st • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Márton Kenessey (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bence Kustra (Dash I/O) - Expected: 22:78

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tamás Lepedus (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.70

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.