National Championship 2026 - Hungary - Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter (CC)

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Dávid István Kovács

5th • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs András Kovács (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Márton Kenessey (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Sebok Gabor (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Marcell Vass (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.20
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Sebok Gabor

11th • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Beni Balazsi (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs István Balogh (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Dávid István Kovács (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Beni Balazsi

15th • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sebok Gabor (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bálint Tóth (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Bence Vereszki (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.