National Championship 2026 - Czechia - Oscilio, Constella Intelligence (CC)

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jan Kučera

3rd • 3-2-0

40%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.4

Surp

2.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ondřej Buřval (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Adam Tuček (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Milan Vu (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jakub Kouřil (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Petr Matonoha (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.49
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.45
R8	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Roman Legíň

3rd • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.7

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Vedran Djuricic (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jan Vaculík (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Martin Okruhlica (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Milan Pěkný (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Martin Okruhlica (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.08
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.52
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.05
R8	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Martin Holík

9th • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.4

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alica Hribikova (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39

85:15

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Martin Knýbel (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 84:16

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jakub Kouřil (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.24
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.17
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Dominik Šupa

10th • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nuredin Hijazi (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Petr Matonoha (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

85:15

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Martin Knýbel (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 84:16, favorite upset

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.41
R2	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	85%	Loss	✓	0.84	-

Milan Vu

15th • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.7

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Matej Sadloň (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jan Kučera (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.