National Championship 2026 - Czechia - Cindra, Dracai of Retribution (CC)

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Igor Makarev

14th • 2-1-0

33%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

1.4

Surp

1.6

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Milan Pěkný (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Roman Demero (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Miroslav Košař (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.79
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.84

Jan Vaculík

17th • 2-1-0

67%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

1.7

Surp

1.4

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Inlé Kratochvílů (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Roman Legíň (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Josef Doležal (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.41
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Josef Ryšavý

20th • 2-1-0

33%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

1.4

Surp

1.7

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Petr Matonoha (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Daniel Saracino (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Adam Hájek (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (1.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.83
R3	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.83

Josef Doležal

22nd • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.3

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Zdeněk Matura (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Papež (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jan Vaculík (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.