Dash I/O at National Championship 2026

Dash I/O

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Petr Matonoha

2nd • 5-1-0

83%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

2.4

Surp

2.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Josef Ryšavý (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dominik Šupa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ondřej Buřval (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jakub Hurda (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jan Kučera (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

25:75

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Martin Okruhlica (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.13
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R3	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R7	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.79
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.08
R9	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-

Ondřej Buřval

19th • 2-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jan Kučera (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Adam Hájek (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Petr Matonoha (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.45
R3	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Daniel Saracino

21st • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.9

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Martin Okruhlica (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Josef Ryšavý (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Roman Demero (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.89

Inlé Kratochvílů

26th • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jan Vaculík (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jakub Hurda (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nuredin Hijazi (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.