Jarl Vetreiði at National Championship 2026

Jarl Vetreiði

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Martin Okruhlica

1st • 6-0-0

83%

Meta

+2.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

4.7

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Saracino (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Daniel Dolejš (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Roman Legíň (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Matej Sadloň (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Roman Legíň (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

75:25

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Petr Matonoha (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

4.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.07
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.30
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R7	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Win	✗	0.68	1.94
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.29
R9	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.66

Jakub Kouřil

5th • 3-1-0

75%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.7

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jakub Hurda (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Matej Sadloň (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Martin Holík (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jan Kučera (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.18
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Win	✗	0.68	0.83
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.72
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Adam Šídlo

27th • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Dolejš (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alica Hribikova (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Boris Melnykov (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.63
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.