Kayo, Underhanded Cheat at National Championship 2026 - Australia
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tom Malek (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Calvin Yu (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 33:67
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Spencer Horton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 25:75
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kairi Thompson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.