National Championship 2026 - Bulgaria - Kassai of the Golden Sand (CC)

Kassai of the Golden Sand

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Ivaylo Ivanov

5th • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Valentin Popov (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Stef Ganchev (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Marin Hristov (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Stef Ganchev (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.32
R3	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.58
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-

Valentin Popov

5th • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ivaylo Ivanov (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mkrtich Chivijyan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Vasil Boev (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Vasil Boev (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.38
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Yanko Spasov

14th • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.6

Surp

1.2

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Viktor Ivanov (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Metodi Nikolaev (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Milen Stanislavov (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.20

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.