Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 4-1-0
60%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Milen Stanislavov (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mihail Milchev (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Valentin Popov (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Valentin Popov (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Bozhidar Kyorov (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.